Will Pclip get a car in 2025?

Line shows traded YES odds. The ring marks the NO result.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “YES” if, at any point between now and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PST, Pclip or his family acquires an additional automobile intended for Pclip’s regular use. An “automobile” is defined as any new, used, or leased passenger vehicle, including but not limited to sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs, and crossovers but excluding motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, bicycles, recreational vehicles, and any non-car vehicles. Rentals and temporary loaners of any duration do not qualify. For the market to resolve “YES,” Pclip must be the primary user of the vehicle, meaning he drives it to work on more than 50% of the days he commutes in person, or, if he becomes fully remote, for more than 50% of his personal transportation. The qualification date is the day the vehicle is delivered and available for Pclip’s use, not the date of purchase or signing. The market will resolve based solely on a good faith confirmation from Pclip that these conditions have been met; otherwise, it will resolve to “NO.”